The Era of Incarceration Expansion in the US Has Arrived

Heidi • March 4, 2025

Policies of the new Presidential administration threatens to roll back decarceration efforts from the last decade

After nearly 20 years of policy aimed at reducing incarceration rates and finding community-based measures to address the failed criminal justice system in the United States, the policies of the new Presidential administration will thwart the gains made toward those efforts. Rather than decarcerate, new policies will accelerate mass incarceration, further dehumanize people in our criminal legal system, engage in a death penalty “killing spree,” and reverse many reforms gained over the last two decades.


These new "tough on crime" measures provide a two-fold danger. First, with respect to the federal system, the new administration will seek to double down on the failed policies of the past: encouraging brutal policing practices, pursuing extreme sentences, and expanding the use of the death penalty. Second, racist and extremist rhetoric may embolden states that have previously embraced reform to return to failed crime policies, fueling mass incarceration and widening racial inequality.


Though the Presidential administration has a singular impact on the federal carceral system, many of those policies will have a trickle-down effect in states, cities, and localities. State and local governments control most of the substantive parts of state criminal legal systems, including policing, prosecution, sentencing, and conditions in prisons and jails. Today, there are over 1.6 million people in state and local jails and prisons, compared to just over 200,000 in federal jails and prisons.


During the campaign, a prevailing message of the new administration's campaign was “there is no higher priority than quickly restoring law and order and public safety in America.” But, just as it was during President Richard Nixon’s 1968 campaign against the war on drugs, “law and order” under the current administration is a “shorthand message promising repression of the Black community.”


From mass deportation to harsher punishments for some crimes, this administration's policies rely on access to more prison and jail cells. In February, ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) had to release some migrant detainees as its detention facilities reached 109% capacity.


In addition to increasing the number of people incarcerated through aggressive prosecution and harsher sentencing, the current administration promises to worsen conditions for incarcerated people. The Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division, which historically played a significant role in fighting dangerous, degrading, and often lethal conditions in state prisons and local jails, was ordered to freeze all current and new investigations as part of an executive order.


You can read more about the detrimental impact these policy changes will have on decarceration effects in "How Trump Is Trying to Expand the Already Colossal U.S. Prison System" at the Marshall Project. The Marshall Project is a nonpartisan, nonprofit news organization that seeks to create and sustain a sense of national urgency about the U.S. criminal justice system.

an adult hand grasping a child's hand through prison bars - Photo: iStock
By Heidi July 1, 2025
In May 2025 the Incarcerated Womxn’s Clemency and Support Project (IWCSP) and Kwaneta Harris Defense Campaign hosted a webinar entitled “Mothering Behind Bars: Voices of Incarcerated Mothers in Reflection of Mother’s Day.
Aerial of Salinas Valley State Prison in Soledad, CA (Photo: KSBW News)
By Heidi June 27, 2025
Incarcerated people at Salinas Valley State Prison in CA declared a hunger strike, protesting alleged are unlawful practices by California Department of Corrections.
image of State of California capitol building in Sacramento next to the California state flag.
By Heidi June 26, 2025
Legislative update on SB 672, Youth Rehabilitation and Opportunity Act, (Sen. Susan Rubio) which would allow some juvenile LWOP convictions to seek parole board hearing.
Leonard Peltier, at his home on the Chippewa Reservation in North Dakota (Kerem Yücel/MPR News)
By Heidi June 25, 2025
After 50 years wrongfully imprisoned, Indigenous activist Leonard Peltier is home. MPR News sits with Peltier in one of his first longform interview since his release.
ICE agents outside a Newark NJ detention facility (Photo:  Brian Branch Price/ZUMA Press Wire)
By Heidi June 24, 2025
Immigrations and Customs Enforcement (ICE) is detaining an increasing number of immigrants without any criminal history, according to recent federal government data.
Join civil rights leaders to urge Gov. Newsom to commute all death sentences; rally at capital 6-26
By Heidi June 20, 2025
Clemency California invites all clemency advocates to the capital in Sacramento on Thursday, June 26th, starting at 10am, to help call on California Governor Gavin Newsom to commute all California death sentences.
fingers forming heart hands from behind prison bars (Photo: Rajesh Rajput)
By Heidi June 20, 2025
The essay "Benjamin Case and the Power of Love" appears at the Prison Writers website, and is written by Benjamin Case, incarcerated in South Carolina.
graphic of a public defender in a courtroom (graphic - iStock)
By Heidi June 17, 2025
Public defenders are crucial to ensuring a fair justice system for all by providing legal representation to those who cannot afford it. After a Mississippi court ordered state legislators better fund public defenders after significant delays in providing representation, the program is set to receive funding.
Defendant's seating in San Diego Courtroom (Photo: Adriana Heldiz/CalMatters)
By Heidi June 16, 2025
Signed in 2023, SB97 set to remove a number of significant barriers to overturning wrongful convictions in California. Two years later, Cal Matters reports a lack of defense investigators leaves California unable to provide those promised safeguards.
on sat 6/14, LA Free Legal Clinics will be on the ground to support participants of the LA Protests
By Heidi June 13, 2025
For tomorrow, Saturday June 14th, the free legal clinics offered the second Saturday of every month in Los Angeles will be moved to the streets to support people participating in the Los Angeles protests, as well as people most threatened by the ongoing ICE raids.
Show More